Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.149339 3.739844 4.442548 5.349656 6.503125 7.939454 9.893014e+00
2024-10-13 2.246095 2.934351 3.862398 5.240997 7.301632 10.380915 1.556832e+01
2024-10-20 1.886512 2.618701 3.689644 5.440589 8.381025 13.434216 2.359857e+01
2024-10-27 1.584211 2.295330 3.398026 5.333942 8.891007 15.737260 3.179149e+01
2024-11-03 1.467790 2.218615 3.453102 5.785599 10.503781 20.811425 4.984054e+01
2024-11-10 1.332911 2.082956 3.375084 5.967757 11.656617 25.559549 7.213993e+01
2024-11-17 1.239857 1.998623 3.364598 6.269182 13.179716 32.154225 1.093034e+02
2024-11-24 1.120904 1.849039 3.203904 6.215775 13.852803 36.919931 1.480783e+02
2024-12-01 1.036164 1.748347 3.117542 6.300456 14.918880 43.745122 2.125277e+02
2024-12-08 0.959056 1.650808 3.019884 6.333680 15.868165 51.038026 3.029394e+02
2024-12-15 0.914263 1.608865 3.028926 6.627638 17.741033 63.904808 4.957205e+02
2024-12-22 0.841682 1.502807 2.883776 6.493086 18.194472 71.100258 6.805070e+02
2024-12-29 0.776492 1.414352 2.786920 6.533052 19.555519 86.373687 1.171701e+03
2025-01-05 0.704355 1.304823 2.630124 6.385631 20.275432 100.437127 1.972424e+03
2025-01-12 0.665609 1.259664 2.613868 6.642504 22.823368 132.944253 4.831674e+03
2025-01-19 0.611281 1.173239 2.482047 6.505408 23.614143 154.929040 9.714824e+03
2025-01-26 0.596643 1.172518 2.563324 7.087096 28.372648 233.440578 5.878526e+04
2025-02-02 0.567750 1.135269 2.543277 7.322586 31.660947 315.701089 5.341837e+05
2025-02-09 0.547061 1.114276 2.562710 7.713347 36.383068 458.753483 6.823220e+08
2025-02-16 0.512539 1.055988 2.468980 7.644013 38.168970 567.520501 NaN
2025-02-23 0.487071 1.016795 2.423049 7.753965 41.456093 761.281726 NaN
2025-03-02 0.461978 0.975688 2.364888 7.797133 44.409733 1006.161798 NaN
2025-03-09 0.447978 0.960828 2.382389 8.179750 50.897123 1589.414900 NaN